Income Growth, Urbanization, and Food Demand in China

Zhihao Zheng (), Shida R. Henneberry, Yinyu Zhao and Ying Gao

No 205105, 2015 AAEA & WAEA Joint Annual Meeting, July 26-28, San Francisco, California from Agricultural and Applied Economics Association

Abstract: A complete demand system is estimated separately for urban and rural residents using a two-stage AIDS-QUAIDS model and pooled provincial and time-series data from 2000 to 2010. The estimated models are then used to project China’s rural and urban food demand in the future. Results suggest that with the continued rise in per capita income and urbanization rate, the budget shares of food grains and vegetables are expected to decrease while the shares of foods with animal origin and other high-valued foods are expected to rise. Moreover, urban residents will dominate the food demand in China.

Keywords: Agricultural and Food Policy; Consumer/Household Economics; Demand and Price Analysis (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 49
Date: 2015
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-cna and nep-tra
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (8)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:ags:aaea15:205105

DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.205105

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