Hedging effectiveness of European wheat futures markets: An application of multivariate GARCH models

Cesar Revoredo-Giha and Marco Zuppiroli

No 212486, 2015 Conference, August 9-14, 2015, Milan, Italy from International Association of Agricultural Economists

Abstract: The instability of commodity prices and the hypothesis that speculative behaviour was one of its causes has brought renewed interest in futures markets. In this paper, the hedging effectiveness of European and US wheat futures markets were studied to test whether they were affected by the high price instability after 2007. In particular, the focus of the paper is to test of whether the increasing presence of financialization of commodity trading in futures markets mentioned in the literature have made them divorced from the physical markets. A multivariate GARCH model was applied to compute optimal hedging ratios. Important evidence was found of an improvement, after 2007, in the effectiveness of hedging with the European futures.

Keywords: Demand and Price Analysis; Marketing (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 26
Date: 2015
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-pr~ and nep-rmg
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Journal Article: Hedging effectiveness of European wheat futures markets: an application of multivariate GARCH models (2016)
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:ags:iaae15:212486

DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.212486

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