Future Perspective of China's Feed Demand and Supply During its Fast Transition Period of Food Consumption

Wanlu Dong, Xiaobing Wang and Jun Yang

No 212716, 2015 Conference, August 9-14, 2015, Milan, Italy from International Association of Agricultural Economists

Abstract: China has experienced the dramatic change of food consumption pattern in the last three decades. However, there are different opinions toward the future change of this process. By adopting the well-developed Chinese agricultural partial equilibrium model-CAPiM model, the demands on livestock products and main feed crops in 2011-2031 are predicted and analyzed. It is found that China's per capita consumption of livestock products will continue to rise in 2011-2031, even though its growth rate will slow down gradually. Meanwhile, the expansion of livestock production will pose great challenges on feed supply in China. More accurately, it is feed security instead of grain security confronted by China in the future. Based on the findings, the related policy implications are proposed.

Keywords: Food Consumption/Nutrition/Food Safety; Livestock Production/Industries (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 21
Date: 2015
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-agr and nep-cna
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (11)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:ags:iaae15:212716

DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.212716

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