A Risk Analysis of Converting CRP Acres to a Wheat-Sorghum-Fallow Rotation

Jeffery Williams, Richard Llewelyn, Dustin Pendell, Alan J. Schlegel and Dumler Troy

No 45985, 2009 Annual Meeting, January 31-February 3, 2009, Atlanta, Georgia from Southern Agricultural Economics Association

Abstract: This study examines the economic potential of producing a wheat (Triticum aesitivum) and grain sorghum (Sorghum bicolor (L.) Moench) rotation with three different tillage strategies compared to the Conservation Reserve Program (CRP) in a semi-arid region. This research uses stochastic efficiency with respect to a function (SERF) to determine the preferred management strategies under various risk preferences and utility-weighted certainty equivalent risk premiums. Yields, input rates, and field operations from an experimental field in western Kansas are used to calculate net returns for each tillage strategy. Although current net returns to crop production using reduced tillage and no-tillage strategies are higher than CRP, risk analysis indicates CRP would be the preferred strategy for some risk-averse managers.

Keywords: Agricultural and Food Policy; Crop Production/Industries; Farm Management; Land Economics/Use; Risk and Uncertainty (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 33
Date: 2009
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-agr and nep-upt
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (2)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:ags:saeana:45985

DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.45985

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