Dynamic Analysis and Forecasts of Rough Rice Price under Government Price Support Program: An Application of Bayesian VAR

Sung Chul No and Michael E. Salassi

No 35279, 2006 Annual Meeting, February 5-8, 2006, Orlando, Florida from Southern Agricultural Economics Association

Abstract: This study constructs a Bayesian VAR model of US rice prices, in conjunction with supply and demand functions. Various validation tests are conducted to examine whether or not the BVAR model satisfies its dual functionality: Providing a dynamic analysis of the effects of a price support program and generating reasonable short-term rice price forecasts.

Keywords: Agricultural; and; Food; Policy (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 17
Date: 2006
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:ags:saeaso:35279

DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.35279

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