An Operational Approach for Evaluating Investment Risk: An Application to the No-Till Transition

Bharat Mani Upadhyay and Douglas L. Young

No 12958, Working Papers from Washington State University, School of Economic Sciences

Abstract: Roy's safety-first rule is used to provide measures popular with farmers of short and long term business risk associated with various no-till transition strategies over an investment horizon. The short run rule provided more sensitivity to inter-year financial risk than other commonly used criteria. Results revealed that speed of adoption influenced the probability of successful transition more than did the sequence of drill acquisition methods. Higher equity and larger farms had a greater chance of transition success. Slow acreage expansion with a custom or rental drill reduces risk until a no-till yield penalty is eliminated.

Keywords: Farm Management; Risk and Uncertainty (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 23
Date: 2005
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (1)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:ags:wsuewp:12958

DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.12958

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