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A Quadrature Rule combining Control Variates and Adaptive Importance Sampling

Rémi Leluc, François Portier, Johan Segers and Aigerim Zhuman
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Johan Segers: Université catholique de Louvain, LIDAM/ISBA, Belgium
Aigerim Zhuman: Université catholique de Louvain, LIDAM/ISBA, Belgium

No 2022018, LIDAM Discussion Papers ISBA from Université catholique de Louvain, Institute of Statistics, Biostatistics and Actuarial Sciences (ISBA)

Abstract: Driven by several successful applications such as in stochastic gradient descent or in Bayesian computation, control variates have become a major tool for Monte Carlo integration. However, standard methods do not allow the distribution of the particles to evolve during the algorithm, as is the case in sequential simulation methods. Within the standard adaptive importance sampling framework, a simple weighted least squares approach is proposed to improve the procedure with control variates. The procedure takes the form of a quadrature rule with adapted quadrature weights to reflect the information brought in by the control variates. The quadrature points and weights do not depend on the integrand, a computational advantage in case of multiple integrands. Moreover, the target density needs to be known only up to a multiplicative constant. Our main result is a non-asymptotic bound on the prob- abilistic error of the procedure. The bound proves that for improving the estimate’s accuracy, the benefits from adaptive importance sampling and control variates can be combined. The good behavior of the method is illustrated empirically on synthetic examples and real-world data for Bayesian linear regression.

Pages: 23
Date: 2022-05-24
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-ecm
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