Turkiye'de Enerji Uretiminde Fosil Yakit Kullanimi ve CO2 Emisyonu Iliskisi: Bir Senaryo Analizi

Hakan Cetintas (), I. Murat Bicil and Kumru Turkoz
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Hakan Cetintas: Kyrgyzstan-Turkey Manas University, Department of Economics
I. Murat Bicil: Balikesir University, Department of Economics
Kumru Turkoz: Balikesir University, Department of Economics

No 17002, EconWorld Working Papers from WERI-World Economic Research Institute

Abstract: Elektrik uretiminde fosil yakitlarin kullanimi CO2 emisyonlarinin artmasinda onemli etkenlerin basinda gelmektedir. Bu calismada Turkiye'de 1986-2013 yillari icin yillik veriler ele alinarak fosil yakitlarla CO2 emisyonlari arasindaki uzun donemli iliskiden yola cikilarak uretimde fosil yakit secimi ile ilgili farkli bilesimlere gore olusturulan senaryolara dayali CO2 emisyonu ongoruleri yapilmistir. Farkli uretim senaryolarina gore emisyondaki degismeleri hesaplamak icin Turkiye'de elektrik uretimi Box-Jenkins metodolojisi ile tahmin edilmis ve uretim projeksiyonu kullanilarak farkli yakit bilesimi senaryolari altinda CO2 emisyonlari hesaplanmistir. Buna gore elektrik uretiminde mevcut durumun devami, komure alternatif olarak dogal gaz kullanimi, komurden yenilenebilir enerjiye gecis gibi alternatif senaryolarin CO2 emisyonunu nasil degistirdigi uretim projeksiyonuna bagli olarak degerlendirilmistir.

Keywords: CO2 Emisyonlari; Enerji Uretimi; Fosil Yakitlar (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: Q2 Q47 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 12 pages
Date: 2017-03, Revised 2017-03
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-ara, nep-ene and nep-env
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (1)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:ana:wpaper:17002

DOI: 10.22440/EconWorld.WP.2017.002

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