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The Dynamics of Unemployment, Temporary and Permanent Employment in Italy

Matteo Picchio

No 286, Working Papers from Universita' Politecnica delle Marche (I), Dipartimento di Scienze Economiche e Sociali

Abstract: This paper evaluates whether and on the extent to which temporary jobs have been a springboard to regular jobs in Italy. Using the 2000, 2002, and 2004 waves of the Survey of Italian Households' Income and Wealth several dynamic unobserved effects probit models for the probability of having a permanent job are estimated. The main results show that a temporary position, rather than being unemployed, significantly increases the probability of having a permanent job 2 years later of about 13.5-16 percentage points. The robustness of this stepping stone effect is then assessed relaxing the parametric assumptions on unobserved individual heterogeneity.

Keywords: dynamic unobserved effects; individual heterogeneity; probit model; stepping stone; temporary employment; unemployment (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C23 C25 C35 J29 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 20
Date: 2007-05
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-lab
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (7)

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http://docs.dises.univpm.it/web/quaderni/pdf/286.pdf First version, 2007 (application/pdf)

Related works:
Chapter: The Dynamics of Unemployment, Temporary and Permanent Employment in Italy (2012) Downloads
Chapter: The Dynamics of Unemployment, Temporary and Permanent Employment in Italy (2012)
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