Grey Forecast Models of Manpower Demand for Pilots in Taiwan

Kung-Don Ye, Hua-An Lu and Wei-Hao Chao
Additional contact information
Kung-Don Ye: National Taiwan Ocean University, Keelung, Taiwan
Hua-An Lu: National Taiwan Ocean University, Keelung, Taiwan
Wei-Hao Chao: National Taiwan Ocean University, Keelung, Taiwan

International Journal of Applied and Physical Sciences, 2016, vol. 2, issue 3, 85-93

Abstract: Air men are one of the most important resources in the air transport industry. They are qualified and professional manpower certificated by the civil aviation authority in every country. These kinds of certificated manpower include pilots for civil air transport and general aviation, air traffic controllers, dispatchers, maintenance engineers, and ground machinists in Taiwan. In particular, the manpower requirement for pilots represents the scale of air transport market in one country and also concerns the certification affairs operated by the civil aviation authority. An appropriate manpower demand forecast model can assist the authority to realize the future development of the whole aviation industry. The purpose of this study is to analyze the demand trends of air men in Taiwan and proposes forecast models to predict the future manpower requirement of pilots in civil air transport. Based on limited samples published in the official reports, this study applied the grey theory to construct GM(1,1) models for the prediction of all pilots, pilots in international airlines, and pilots in regional airlines. These models were evaluated as of good forecasting abilities. More forecast results and discussions are reported in this paper

Keywords: Grey Forecast Model; Pilot; GM (1; 1); GM (1; N) (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2016
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (1)

Downloads: (external link)
https://kkgpublications.com/applied-sciences-v2-issue3-article5/ (application/pdf)
https://kkgpublications.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/04/IJAPS.2.50005-3.pdf (text/html)

Related works:
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:apa:ijapss:2016:p:85-93

DOI: 10.20469/ijaps.2.50005-3.pdf

Access Statistics for this article

International Journal of Applied and Physical Sciences is currently edited by Dr K.Vivehananthan

More articles in International Journal of Applied and Physical Sciences from Dr K.Vivehananthan Calle Alarcon 66, Sant Adrian De Besos 08930, Barcelona Spain.
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Dr K.Vivehananthan ().