Commercial Property Cycles and Sub-market Emergence in Selected Canadian Cities

Colin Jones, Neil Dunse and Terry Brooke

ERES from European Real Estate Society (ERES)

Abstract: The research examines office property markets cycles in four Canadian cities - Calgary, Edmonton, Vancouver and Toronto. Each of the four cities has a different economic base and, as a result, have potentially significantly different commercial property development and investment cycles. The analysis examines cycles in annual office building construction in each market on a building by building basis over the past 100 years. The analysis of investment cycles is based on office building sales transactions and quarterly market rent data over the past 20 to 25 years. The four cities are shown to be rarely in the same phase of a development/investment cycle. There are significant differences in the primary office and industrial user groups that shape these markets and affect market cycles. The same major investment firms, pension funds and REITs, seek large office and industrial properties in all four cities as each progress through a complete development and investment cycle. However, each market also has a significant component of regional and local investors. The role of property market cycles in the emergence and changes in office sub-markets is also examined.

Keywords: Commercial Property Sub-markets; Property Cycles; Property Investment (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: R3 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2018-01-01
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-ure
References: Add references at CitEc
Citations:

Downloads: (external link)
https://eres.architexturez.net/doc/oai-eres-id-eres2018-168 (text/html)

Related works:
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:arz:wpaper:eres2018_168

Access Statistics for this paper

More papers in ERES from European Real Estate Society (ERES) Contact information at EDIRC.
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Architexturez Imprints ().