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Individual prediction of automobile bodily injury claims liabilities

Mercedes Ayuso and Miguel Santolino(Universitat de Barcelona)
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Miguel Santolino(Universitat de Barcelona): Universitat de Barcelona

No 220, Working Papers in Economics from Universitat de Barcelona. Espai de Recerca en Economia

Abstract: Most motor bodily injury (BI) claims are settled by negotiation, with fewer than 5% of cases going to court. A well-defined negotiation strategy is thus very useful for insurance companies. In this paper we assume that the monetary compensation awarded in court is the upper amount to be offered by the insurer in the negotiation process. Using a real database, a log-linear model is implemented to estimate the maximal offer. Non-spherical disturbances are detected. Correlation occurs when various claims are settled in the same judicial verdict. Groupwise heteroscedasticity is due to the influence of the forensic valuation on the final compensation amount.

JEL-codes: C31 C53 G22 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 0 pages
Date: 2009
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