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Updated Methodology for Assigning Credit Ratings to Sovereigns

Karim McDaniels, Nico Palesch, Sanjam Suri, Zacharie Quiviger and John Walsh

No 2021-16, Discussion Papers from Bank of Canada

Abstract: The investment of foreign exchange reserves or other asset portfolios requires an assessment of the credit quality of investment counterparties. Traditionally, foreign exchange reserve and other asset managers relied on credit rating agencies (CRAs) as the main source of information for credit assessments. In October 2010, the Financial Stability Board issued principles to reduce reliance on CRA ratings in standards, laws and regulations, in support of financial stability. Moreover, best practices in the asset management industry suggest that investors should understand the credit risks they are exposed to and, more broadly, that they should rely on internal credit assessments to inform investment decisions. In support of these objectives, the Bank of Canada first published its sovereign rating methodology in 2017. It provided a detailed technical description of the process developed to assign internal credit ratings to sovereigns, using only publicly available data. This publication updates the internal sovereign rating methodology to stay abreast of evolving best practices and leverage internal experience. This updated methodology proposes three key innovations: (i) a new approach to assessing a sovereign’s fiscal position, (ii) adjustments to the approach to assessing monetary policy flexibility and (iii) the explicit consideration of climate-related factors.

Keywords: Credit risk management; Foreign reserves management (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: F31 G28 G32 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 48 pages
Date: 2021-11
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-ban, nep-cba, nep-fdg and nep-rmg
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (1)

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