Assessing global potential output growth and the US neutral rate: April 2023

Salma Ahmed, Aviel Avshalumov, Tania Chaar, Eshini Ekanayake, Helen Lao, Louis Poirier, Jenna Rolland-Mills, Argyn Toktamyssov and Lin Xiang

No 2023-5, Staff Analytical Notes from Bank of Canada

Abstract: We expect global potential output growth to increase from 2.5% in 2022 to 2.8% by 2026. Compared with the April 2022 staff assessment, global potential output growth is marginally slower. The current range for the US neutral rate is 2% to 3%, unchanged from the last annual assessment.

Keywords: Interest rates; Monetary policy; Potential output; Productivity (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: E1 E2 E4 E5 F0 O4 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2023-05
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-eff
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