Climate change and Italian agriculture: evidence from weather shocks

Antonio Accetturo and Matteo Alpino ()
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Matteo Alpino: Bank of Italy

No 756, Questioni di Economia e Finanza (Occasional Papers) from Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area

Abstract: We estimate the effect of weather shocks on yield of corn, durum wheat, and grapevine using two-way fixed effect models on Italian province-level panel data at the annual frequency. Our estimates reveal substantial non-linearity in the effect of temperature on agricultural yields, in line with the literature. Furthermore, grapevine appears less sensitive to heat than cereals. Combining our estimates with projections on future climate under the A1B scenario, we find that by 2030 the effects of climate change on crop yield will be non-negative. The crop at the highest risk of losses is corn.

Keywords: temperature shocks; precipitation; agricultural yields; climate change (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: Q10 Q54 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2023-04
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-agr and nep-env
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:bdi:opques:qef_756_23

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