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Evolutionary stability of prospect theory preferences

Marc Oliver Rieger
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Marc Oliver Rieger: Center for Mathematical Economics, Bielefeld University

No 422, Center for Mathematical Economics Working Papers from Center for Mathematical Economics, Bielefeld University

Abstract: We demonstrate that in simple 2 x 2 games (cumulative) prospect theory preferences can be evolutionarily stable, i.e. a population of players with prospect theory preferences can not be invaded by more rational players. This holds also if probability weighting is applied to the probabilities of mixed strategies. We also show that in a typical game with infinitely many strategies, the “war of attrition†, probability weighting is evolutionarily stable. Finally, we generalize to other notions of stability. Our results may help to explain why probability weighting is generally observed in humans, although it is not optimal in usual decision problems.

Keywords: prospect theory; existence of Nash equilibria; evolutionary stability (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 22
Date: 2015-12-03
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-cbe, nep-evo, nep-gth, nep-hpe and nep-upt
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https://pub.uni-bielefeld.de/download/2788387/2788388 First Version, 2009 (application/pdf)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:bie:wpaper:422

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