Situating Africa in the exports patterns of China's Belt and Road Initiative: A network analysis

Koffi Dumor, Yao Li, Enock Mintah Ampaw, Charles Hackman K. Essel, Edwina Oheneasi Essel and Onesmus Mbaabu Mutiiria

African Development Review, 2021, vol. 33, issue 2, 343-356

Abstract: This study analytically examines the structure and characteristics of China's Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) and African trade networks by applying network analysis techniques through a critical and in‐depth description of the international trade of Eastern African countries as part of the world trade network. Sixty‐four countries' trade flow data between 2000 and 2018 from the International Monetary Fund, was used, and the network indices indicate that the BRI significantly enhances the trade network's connectivity. The empirical results indicate that density, the degree of centralization, and average node intensity are typically growing, and China is in the central position of the network. Furthermore, East African intra‐regional trade tends to be more densely connected under the BRI. This, in effect, demonstrates that the BRI countries have experienced a rise in intra‐regional trade at different levels of economic development. Therefore, this study recommends that policymakers should consider the BRI's critical role in reforming trade policies to build a resilient and sustainable African economy.

Date: 2021
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