Real exchange rate determination and the China puzzle

Rodney Tyers and Ying Zhang

Asian-Pacific Economic Literature, 2014, vol. 28, issue 2, 1-32

Abstract: type="main">

Traditionally, real exchange rates are seen to be influenced in the long run by forces that return economies to purchasing power parity and by differences in productivity growth across sectors and across regions, as per the Balassa–Samuelson hypothesis (BSH). However, minor and realistic relaxations of the assumptions underlying the BSH greatly generalise the set of possible influences over real exchange rates. This paper surveys the literature on real exchange rate determination, investigates short-run behaviour, and addresses puzzles over the trends in China's real exchange rate. While China was widely expected to appreciate against the advanced economies following its first growth surge in the mid-1990s, it actually depreciated slightly until the early 2000s. Then, after 2005, its rate of appreciation was more rapid than expected. These puzzles are resolved by accounting for the effects of the trade liberalisations associated with World Trade Organization accession, China's excess saving, and the tightening of rural labour markets.

Date: 2014
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (4)

Downloads: (external link)
http://hdl.handle.net/10.1111/apel.12077 (text/html)
Access to full text is restricted to subscribers.

Related works:
Working Paper: Real Exchange Rate Determination and the China Puzzle (2014)
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:bla:apacel:v:28:y:2014:i:2:p:1-32

Ordering information: This journal article can be ordered from
https://ordering.onl ... 7-8411&ref=1467-8411

Access Statistics for this article

Asian-Pacific Economic Literature is currently edited by Yixiao Zhou

More articles in Asian-Pacific Economic Literature from The Crawford School, The Australian National University
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Wiley Content Delivery ().