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Assessing estimates of the exchange rate pass-through

Ida Wolden Bache
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Ida Wolden Bache: Norges Bank (Central Bank of Norway)

No 2007/12, Working Paper from Norges Bank

Abstract: This paper uses Monte Carlo techniques to address the question: are structural VAR estimates of exchange rate pass-through a useful tool to evaluate macroeconomic models of open economies? The data generating process is a small open economy DSGE model with incomplete pass-through. The results suggest that (i) the pass-through estimates obtained from a first-differenced VAR exhibit a systematic downward bias; (ii) by contrast, estimates derived from a low order vector equilibrium correction model are fairly accurate; but (iii) standard cointegration tests have low power to detect the cointegration relations implied by the DSGE model.

Keywords: Exchange rate pass-through; structural VAR; DSGE models; cointegration (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C32 C52 F41 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 60 pages
Date: 2008-01-11
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-cba, nep-dge, nep-ifn and nep-opm
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:bno:worpap:2007_12

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