Estimating the impact of changes in aggregate bank capital requirements during an upswing

Joseph Noss () and C. Priscilla Toffano
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Joseph Noss: Bank of England, Postal: Publications Group Bank of England Threadneedle Street London EC2R 8AH

No 494, Bank of England working papers from Bank of England

Abstract: This paper estimates the effect of changes in capital requirements applied to all UK-resident banks on lending by studying the joint dynamics of the aggregate capital ratio of the UK banking system and a set of macro-financial variables. This is achieved by means of sign restrictions that attempt to identify shocks in past data that match a set of assumed directional responses of other variables to future changes in capital requirements aimed at increasing the resilience of the banking system to losses during an upswing. This may provide policymakers with a plausible ‘upper bound’ on the short-term effects of future increases in macroprudential capital requirements in certain states of the economic cycle. An increase in the aggregate bank capital requirement during an economic upswing is associated with a reduction of lending, with the effect larger for lending to corporates than for that to households. The impact on GDP growth is statistically insignificant.

Keywords: Bank capital; bank lending; regulatory capital requirements; capital buffer; macroprudential policy (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: G21 G28 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 42 pages
Date: 2014-03-28
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-ban, nep-cba and nep-cfn
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (31)

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