Contagion, spillover and interdependence

Roberto Rigobon

No 607, Bank of England working papers from Bank of England

Abstract: This paper reviews the empirical literature on international spillovers and contagion. Theoretical models of spillover and contagion imply that the reduced form observable variables suffer from two possible sources of bias: endogeneity and omitted variables. These econometric problems in combination with the heteroskedasticity that plagues the data produce time varying biases. Several empirical methodologies are evaluated from this perspective: non-parametric techniques such as correlations and principal components, as well as parametric methods such as OLS, VAR, event studies, ARCH, non-linear regressions, etc. The paper concludes that there is no single technique that can solve the full fledge problem and discusses three methodologies that can partially address some of the questions in the literature.

Keywords: spillovers; contagion; heteroskedasticity (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C58 F32 F36 G15 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 30 pages
Date: 2016-08-11
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-cse and nep-ecm
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (25)

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Related works:
Journal Article: Contagion, Spillover, and Interdependence (2019)
Working Paper: Contagion, spillover and interdependence (2016)
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:boe:boeewp:0607

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