Interpreting the world trade collapse

Silvia Domit () and Tamarah Shakir ()
Additional contact information
Silvia Domit: Bank of England, Postal: Threadneedle Street, London, EC2R 8AH, http://www.bankofengland.co.uk
Tamarah Shakir: Bank of England, Postal: Threadneedle Street, London, EC2R 8AH, http://www.bankofengland.co.uk

Bank of England Quarterly Bulletin, 2010, vol. 50, issue 3, 183-189

Abstract: World trade’s dramatic collapse from the end of 2008 was emblematic of a globally synchronised recession that threatened to become a depression and of a financial crisis painfully transmitted to the real economy. The extent of the fall in world trade relative to that in world GDP and the subsequent strength of the trade recovery so far suggests particular factors have been affecting global trade flows. This article considers the possible reasons for the pronounced fall and recovery in world trade relative to world GDP, focusing on UK export demand. At its core, the extraordinary decline in trade stemmed from the combination of a shock to global demand skewed towards highly tradable sectors and the ever-more globalised production process for these goods. The encouraging improvement in world trade from the second half of 2009 can also be attributed to some of these factors, as well as suggesting that permanent damage to the global marketplace may be less extensive than first feared.

Date: 2010
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (3)

Downloads: (external link)
https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/-/media/boe/files/ ... C1E6C0077CF84A97F243 Full text (application/pdf)

Related works:
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:boe:qbullt:0024

Access Statistics for this article

Bank of England Quarterly Bulletin is currently edited by Lindsey Fowler

More articles in Bank of England Quarterly Bulletin from Bank of England Publications Group Bank of England Threadneedle Street London EC2R 8AH. Contact information at EDIRC.
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Publications Group ().