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Max-Chart for Autocorrelated Processes

Thaga K., Kgosi P. M. and Gabaitiri L.
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Thaga K.: Department of Statistics, University of Botswana, Private Bag UB00705 Gaborone, Botswana
Kgosi P. M.: Department of Statistics, University of Botswana, Private Bag UB00705 Gaborone, Botswana
Gabaitiri L.: Department of Statistics, University of Botswana, Private Bag UB00705 Gaborone, Botswana

Stochastics and Quality Control, 2007, vol. 22, issue 1, 87-105

Abstract: Statistical process control procedures are usually implemented under the assumption that the observations from a process are independent over time. However, this assumption is often violated. Therefore, we propose a single Shewhart-type control chart for autocorrelated process by fitting a time series model into the process and monitoring the residuals from the forecast values of a fitted time series model. Numerical results illustrate the ARL of the AR(1) plus random error model, for the cases of step changes in the mean and/or standard deviation. Compared to other charts that monitor autocorrelated processes, this chart quickly detects shifts in the process location and spread particularly for large shifts.

Date: 2007
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DOI: 10.1515/EQC.2007.87

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