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Oracle inequalities for multi-fold cross validation

Vaart Aad W. van der, Dudoit Sandrine and Laan Mark J. van der

Statistics & Risk Modeling, 2006, vol. 24, issue 3, 351-371

Abstract: We consider choosing an estimator or model from a given class by cross validation consisting of holding a nonneglible fraction of the observations out as a test set. We derive bounds that show that the risk of the resulting procedure is (up to a constant) smaller than the risk of an oracle plus an error which typically grows logarithmically with the number of estimators in the class. We extend the results to penalized cross validation in order to control unbounded loss functions. Applications include regression with squared and absolute deviation loss and classification under Tsybakov’s condition.

Keywords: model selection; oracle inequality; adaptation (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2006
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (12)

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DOI: 10.1524/stnd.2006.24.3.351

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