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Evaluating the Spillover Effects of the Plan Colombia in Ecuador

Jose Fernandez-Diaz and Matteo Pazzona ()

Bristol Economics Discussion Papers from School of Economics, University of Bristol, UK

Abstract: The implementation of the Plan Colombia is thought to have had significant violence-related spillovers in Ecuador's bordering provinces with Colombia. We investigate whether the Plan Colombia lead to an increase in violence, measured by homicide rates, in such provinces. Using a difference in difference approach we do not find any evidence of a crime-increasing effect. As a next step, we evaluate the impact of migration on the level of homicides in Ecuador. The instrumental variable results, based on the intensity of the Plan Colombia, show a significant, although small, crime-reducing effect.

Keywords: Plan Colombia; Ecuador; Violence and Migration. (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: D74 F22 K42 O54 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 25 pages.
Date: 2015-11-16
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-lam and nep-law
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Working Paper: Evaluating the Spillover Effects of the Plan Colombia in Ecuador (2015) Downloads
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