Betting Markets Efficiency: Evidence From European Football

Bruno Deschamps

Journal of Gambling Business and Economics, 2008, vol. 2, issue 1, 66-76

Abstract: This paper uses data from up to 79 bookmakers in any one match to analyze the efficiency of European football betting markets during the 2005/2006 season. We first examine the empirical derivatives of the longshot bias, and find that the bias is much more pronounced for high-grade matches. This arguably supports the information-based explanation of the longshot bias. We also show that internet betting, by giving access to a large number of bookmakers, improves significantly bettors' potential return. Finally, we find that average odds do not provide the best estimate of the likelihood of a result. Indeed, the best available odds are informative as well, even after controlling for the average odds.

JEL-codes: L83 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2008
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (2)

Downloads: (external link)
http://www.ubplj.org/index.php/jgbe/article/view/525 (text/html)

Related works:
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:buc:jgbeco:v:2:y:2008:i:1:p:66-76

Ordering information: This journal article can be ordered from
http://www.jgbe.com/index_files/Page492.htm

Access Statistics for this article

Journal of Gambling Business and Economics is currently edited by Leighton Vaughan Williams, Nottingham Business School

More articles in Journal of Gambling Business and Economics from University of Buckingham Press
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Dominic Cortis, University of Malta ().