Foreign Direct Investment as a Determinant of Cross-Country Stock Market Comovement

Alexis Anagnostopoulos, Orhan Erem Atesagaoglu, Elisa Faraglia and Chryssi Giannitsarou

Cambridge Working Papers in Economics from Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge

Abstract: We develop a theoretical framework in order to investigate the link between two recent trends: (i) the rise in cross-country stock market correlations over the past three decades, and (ii) the increase in global foreign direct investment (FDI) positions over the same period. Our objective is twofold: first, we investigate empirically the channel through which the rise in global stock market correlations is associated with the observed increase in global FDI. Second, we develop a two-country stochastic asset pricing model with multinational firms that allows us to quantify the extent to which the recent rise in global FDI can account for the observed increase in cross-country stock market comovement. Calibrating three versions of the model (financial autarky, incomplete markets and complete markets) to the US and the rest-of-the-world, we find that a permanent increase in FDI positions, as observed from mid 1990s to mid 2000s, leads to substantial increase in cross-country stock market comovements. Increases in FDI alone can account for approximately one third of the observed increase in stock market correlations. We also discuss the role of portfolio diversification and, more generally, asset market integration.

Keywords: stock market comovements; foreign direct investment; business cycle synchronisation; multinational firms; asset pricing (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: F21 F23 F44 G12 G15 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2019-07-22
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-dge and nep-int
Note: cg349, ef307
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Related works:
Working Paper: Foreign Direct Investment as a Determinant of Cross-Country Stock Market Comovement (2019)
Working Paper: Foreign Direct Investment as a Determinant of Cross-Country Stock~Market Comovement (2019)
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:cam:camdae:1978

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