Impact of Climate Change on the Indian Economy-Evidence from Foodgrain Yields

Shreekant Gupta, Partha Sen and Suchita Srinivasan
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Shreekant Gupta: Department of Economics, Delhi School of Economics, Delhi, India & LKY School of Public Policy (NUS)
Partha Sen: South Asian University

No 218, Working papers from Centre for Development Economics, Delhi School of Economics

Abstract: This paper estimates the impact of climate change on foodgrain yields in India, namely riceand millets. We estimate a crop-specific agricultural production function with exogenous climate variables, namely, precipitation and temperature and control for key inputs such as irrigation, fertilizer and labour. Our analysis is at the district level using a panel dataset for physical yield (output per hectare – gross cropped area) for the period 1966-99. Thus, we eschew crop simulation approaches that rely on experimental data. We do not also estimate reduced form relationships between economic variables such as profits or the monetary value of yield and weather measures. Consistent with other studies at the district and state level we find significant impacts of climate change (temperature and precipitation) on Indian agriculture. The implication of our results for inter-state disparities and corrective measures is elaborated.

Keywords: Climate Change; Agricultural Impacts; Developing Countries (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: O13 Q54 R11 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 38 pages
Date: 2012-09
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-agr, nep-eff and nep-env
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (5)

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Related works:
Journal Article: IMPACT OF CLIMATE CHANGE ON THE INDIAN ECONOMY: EVIDENCE FROM FOOD GRAIN YIELDS (2014)
Working Paper: IMPACT OF CLIMATE CHANGE ON THE INDIAN ECONOMY: EVIDENCE FROM FOODGRAIN YIELDS (2012)
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