Contagion in International Stock and Currency Markets During Recent Crisis Episodes

Pami Dua and Divya Tuteja

No 258, Working papers from Centre for Development Economics, Delhi School of Economics

Abstract: This paper investigates contagion across stock and currency markets of China, Eurozone, India, Japan and US during global financial crisis and Eurozone crisis. The crisis periods are selected using Markov-switching models for US and Eurozone markets. We, then, utilize the DCC-GARCH model to estimate conditional correlation among the assets and test for contagion/flight to quality effects during the crises. The results show significant contagion as well as flight to quality effects both across and within asset classes. We examine the impact of financial stress index on the correlation across markets and find that portfolio diversification benefits for equity markets may be non-existent.

Keywords: Financial contagion; Global Financial Crisis; Eurozone Crisis; Dynamic Conditional Correlation; Markov Switching; Financial Stress (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C32 F30 G15 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 40 pages
Date: 2016-07
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