Does climate change make foodgrain yields more unpredictable? Evidence from India

Saumya Verma, Shreekant Gupta and Partha Sen
Additional contact information
Saumya Verma: Lady Shri Ram College,University of Delhi
Shreekant Gupta: Department of Economics, Delhi School of Economics
Partha Sen: Centre for Development Economics, Delhi School of Economics & CESifo

No 305, Working papers from Centre for Development Economics, Delhi School of Economics

Abstract: THow would climate change affect India’s agriculture which accounts for sixty percent of employment? We study the impact of climate change on the level and variability of yields of rice (India’s major food crop) and two key millet crops (sorghum and pearl millet), using an all India district level panel dataset from 1966-2011. A stochastic production function is estimated with exogenous climate anomalies. We find that climate change adversely affects both the level and variability of crop yields - rice yields are reduced by rainfall extremes whereas extremely high temperatures make yields of all three crops highly variable with the biggest impact on millets.

JEL-codes: D24 O13 Q54 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 54 pages
Date: 2020-02
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-agr, nep-dev and nep-env
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (2)

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Working Paper: Does Climate Change Make Foodgrain Yields More Unpredictable? Evidence from India (2020)
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