Mobility, Opportunity, and Volatility Statistics (MOVS): Infrastructure Files and Public Use Data

Maggie R. Jones, Adam Bee, Amanda Eng, Kendall Houghton, Nikolas Pharris-Ciurej, Sonya R. Porter, Jonathan Rothbaum and John Voorheis

Working Papers from U.S. Census Bureau, Center for Economic Studies

Abstract: Federal statistical agencies and policymakers have identified a need for integrated systems of household and personal income statistics. This interest marks a recognition that aggregated measures of income, such as GDP or average income growth, tell an incomplete story that may conceal large gaps in well-being between different types of individuals and families. Until recently, longitudinal income data that are rich enough to calculate detailed income statistics and include demographic characteristics, such as race and ethnicity, have not been available. The Mobility, Opportunity, and Volatility Statistics project (MOVS) fills this gap in comprehensive income statistics. Using linked demographic and tax records on the population of U.S. working-age adults, the MOVS project defines households and calculates household income, applying an equivalence scale to create a personal income concept, and then traces the progress of individuals’ incomes over time. We then output a set of intermediate statistics by race-ethnicity group, sex, year, base-year state of residence, and base-year income decile. We select the intermediate statistics most useful in developing more complex intragenerational income mobility measures, such as transition matrices, income growth curves, and variance-based volatility statistics. We provide these intermediate statistics as part of a publicly released data tool with downloadable flat files and accompanying documentation. This paper describes the data build process and the output files, including a brief analysis highlighting the structure and content of our main statistics.

Pages: 34 pages
Date: 2024-04
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https://www2.census.gov/library/working-papers/2024/adrm/ces/CES-WP-24-23.pdf First version, 2024 (application/pdf)

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