Can Workers Still Climb the Social Ladder as Middling Jobs Become Scarce? Evidence from Two British Cohorts

Cecilia Garcia-Peñalosa, Fabien Petit () and Tanguy van Ypersele

No 10337, CESifo Working Paper Series from CESifo

Abstract: The increase in employment polarization observed in several high-income economies has coincided with a reduction in inter-generational mobility. This paper argues that the disappearance of middling jobs can drive changes in mobility, notably by removing a stepping stone towards high-paying occupations for those from less well-off family backgrounds. Using data from two British cohorts who entered the labour market at two points in time with very different degrees of employment polarization, we examine how parental income affects both entry occupations and occupational upgrading over careers. We find that transitions across occupations are key to mobility and that the impact of parental income has grown over time. At regional level, using a shift-share IV-strategy, we show that the impact of parental income has increased the most in regions experiencing the greatest increase in polarisation. This indicates that the disappearance of middling jobs played a role in the observed decline in mobility.

Keywords: British cohort; inter-generational mobility; job polarization; parental income; occupational transition (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: J21 J24 J62 O33 R23 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2023
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-eur, nep-lma, nep-tid and nep-ure
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (4)

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Related works:
Journal Article: Can workers still climb the social ladder as middling jobs become scarce? Evidence from two British cohorts (2023)
Working Paper: Can workers still climb the social ladder as middling jobs become scarce? Evidence from two British cohorts (2023)
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:ces:ceswps:_10337

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