The Employment Consequences of Anti-Dumping Tariffs: Lessons from Brazil

Gustavo de Souza and Haishi Li

No 11654, CESifo Working Paper Series from CESifo

Abstract: How do import tariffs affect employment? We develop an empirical strategy to identify the effects of tariffs using difference-in-differences, comparing anti-dumping (AD) investigations resulting in dumping tariffs to those not resulting in dumping tariffs. We find that an AD tariff decreases imports and increases employment in the protected sector. Moreover, downstream firms decrease employment, while upstream ones are unaffected because the protected sector sources inputs abroad. Using a model to quantify the aggregate effects, we find that the Brazilian AD policy increased employment by 0.06% at a welfare loss of 2.4%.

Keywords: employment; tariffs; anti-dumping; international trade (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: F13 F16 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2025
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-int and nep-lab
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