An Adaptive Targeted Field Experiment: Job Search Assistance for Refugees in Jordan

Stefano Caria, Grant Gordon, Maximilian Kasy, Simon Quinn, Soha Shami and Alexander Teytelboym

No 8535, CESifo Working Paper Series from CESifo

Abstract: We introduce a novel methodology for adaptive targeted experiments. Our Tempered Thompson Algorithm balances the goals of maximizing the precision of treatment effect estimates and maximizing the welfare of experimental participants. A hierarchical Bayesian model allows us to adaptively target treatments at different groups. We implement our methodology in a field experiment. We examine the impact of three interventions designed to improve formal employment outcomes of Syrian refugees and local jobseekers in Jordan: one treatment to address liquidity constraints, one to address information frictions, and one to address challenges of self-control. Six weeks after being offered treatment, none of the interventions has a significant or meaningful impact on the probability that individuals are in wage employment; we estimate that our targeting algorithm had a positive but small effect on aggregate employment (approximately 1 percentage point). However, we find large employment effects of all treatments for refugees at the two-month follow-up, and suggestive evidence of four-month impacts for the cash grant; liquidity appears to be a key barrier to employment for refugees.

Keywords: adaptive experiments; refugees; job search (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C93 J60 O15 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2020
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-ara, nep-exp and nep-lab
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (15)

Downloads: (external link)
https://www.cesifo.org/DocDL/cesifo1_wp8535.pdf (application/pdf)

Related works:
Journal Article: An Adaptive Targeted Field Experiment: Job Search Assistance for Refugees in Jordan (2024)
Working Paper: An Adaptive Targeted Field Experiment: Job Search Assistance for Refugees in Jordan (2021)
Working Paper: An Adaptive Targeted Field Experiment: Job Search Assistance for Refugees in Jordan (2020)
Working Paper: An Adaptive Targeted Field Experiment: Job Search Assistance for Refugees in Jordan (2020)
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:ces:ceswps:_8535

Access Statistics for this paper

More papers in CESifo Working Paper Series from CESifo Contact information at EDIRC.
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Klaus Wohlrabe ().