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The Expected (Signaling) Value of Higher Education

Laura Ehrmantraut, Pia Pinger and Renske Stans

No 8589, CESifo Working Paper Series from CESifo

Abstract: This paper explores students’ expectations about the returns to completing higher education and provides first evidence on perceived signaling and human capital effects. We elicit counterfactual labor market expectations for the hypothetical scenarios of leaving university with or without a degree certificate among a large and diverse sample of students at different stages of higher education. Our findings indicate substantial perceived returns to higher education. Moreover, using within-individual fixed effects models, we document substantial expected labor market returns from signaling, whereas perceived productivity-enhancing (human capital) returns seem to be less pronounced. Over the expected course of career, we find lasting education premia as well as evidence consistent with employer learning.

Keywords: higher education; returns to education; signaling; educational attainment; licensing; employer learning (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: I21 I23 I26 J24 J31 J32 J44 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2020
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-edu and nep-hrm
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (4)

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Working Paper: The Expected (Signaling) Value of Higher Education (2020) Downloads
Working Paper: The Expected (Signaling) Value of Higher Education (2020) Downloads
Working Paper: The Expected (Signaling) Value of Higher Education (2020) Downloads
Working Paper: The Expected (Signaling) Value of Higher Education (2020) Downloads
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