Concentration Bias in Intertemporal Choice

Markus Dertwinkel-Kalt (), Holger Gerhardt, Gerhard Riener, Frederik Schwerter and Louis Strang

No 9011, CESifo Working Paper Series from CESifo

Abstract: Many intertemporal trade-offs are unbalanced: while the advantages of options are concentrated in a few periods, the disadvantages are dispersed over numerous periods. We provide novel experimental evidence for “concentration bias”, the tendency to overweight advantages that are concentrated in time. Subjects commit to too much overtime work that is dispersed over multiple days in exchange for a bonus that is concentrated in time: concentration bias increases subjects’ willingness to work by 22.4% beyond what standard discounting models could account for. In additional conditions and a complementary experiment involving monetary payments, we study the mechanisms behind concentration bias and demonstrate the robustness of our findings.

Keywords: attention; focusing; bounded rationality; intertemporal choice; future bias; present bias; framing (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: D01 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2021
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-cbe, nep-cwa, nep-dcm and nep-exp
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (12)

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Related works:
Journal Article: Concentration Bias in Intertemporal Choice (2022)
Working Paper: Concentration Bias in Intertemporal Choice (2021)
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:ces:ceswps:_9011

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