Past Exposure to Macroeconomic Shocks and Populist Attitudes in Europe

Despina Gavresi and Anastasia Litina ()

No 9451, CESifo Working Paper Series from CESifo

Abstract: This paper explores the interplay between past exposure to macroeconomic shocks and populist attitudes. We document that individuals who experienced a macroeconomic shock during their impressionable years (between 18 and 25 years of age), are currently more prone to voting for populist parties, and manifest lower trust both in national and European institutions. We use data from the European Social Survey (ESS) to construct the differential individual exposure to macroeconomic shocks during impressionable years. Our findings suggest that it is not only current exposure to shocks that matters (see e.g., Guiso et al. (2020)) but also past exposure to economic recessions, which has a persistent positive effect on the rise of populism. Interestingly, the interplay between the two, i.e., past and current exposure to economic shocks, has a mitigating effect on the rise of populism. Individuals who were exposed to economic shocks in the past are less likely to manifest populist attitudes when faced with a current crisis, as suggested by the experience-based learning literature.

Keywords: macroeconomic shocks; trust; attitudes; populism (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: D72 E60 F68 P16 Z13 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2021
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-cwa, nep-eec, nep-hrm, nep-mac, nep-pol and nep-soc
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (1)

Downloads: (external link)
https://www.cesifo.org/DocDL/cesifo1_wp9451.pdf (application/pdf)

Related works:
Journal Article: Past exposure to macroeconomic shocks and populist attitudes in Europe (2023)
Working Paper: Past Exposure to Macroeconomic Shocks and Populist Attitudes in Europe (2023)
Working Paper: Past Exposure to Macroeconomic Shocks and Populist Attitudes in Europe (2021)
Working Paper: Past Exposure to Macroeconomic Shocks and Populist Attitudes in Europe (2021)
Working Paper: Past Exposure to Macroeconomic Shocks and Populist Attitudes in Europe (2021)
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:ces:ceswps:_9451

Access Statistics for this paper

More papers in CESifo Working Paper Series from CESifo Contact information at EDIRC.
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Klaus Wohlrabe ().