Violence in Guatemala pushes adults and children to seek work in Mexico

Roxana Gutiérrez-Romero

No 107, Working Papers from Queen Mary, University of London, School of Business and Management, Centre for Globalisation Research

Abstract: This article estimates the impact of violence on emigration crossings from Guatemala to Mexico as final destination during 2009-2017. To identify causal effects, we use as instruments the variation in deforestation in Guatemala, and the seizing of cocaine in Colombia. We argue that criminal organizations deforest land in Guatemala, fueling violence and leading to emigration, particularly during exogenous supply shocks to cocaine. A one-point increase in the homicide rate differential between Guatemalan municipalities and Mexico, leads to 211 additional emigration crossings made by male adults. This rise in violence, also leads to 20 extra emigration crossings made by children.

Keywords: violence; emigration; unaccompanied children; Central America; deforestation. (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C26 D74 F22 J15 K37 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 31 pages
Date: 2022-11
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-lab, nep-law and nep-mig
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:cgs:wpaper:107

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