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A machine learning approach to portfolio pricing and risk management for high-dimensional problems

Lucio Fernandez Arjona and Damir Filipović
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Lucio Fernandez Arjona: Zurich Insurance Group
Damir Filipović: Ecole Polytechnique Fédérale de Lausanne; Swiss Finance Institute

No 20-28, Swiss Finance Institute Research Paper Series from Swiss Finance Institute

Abstract: We present a general framework for portfolio risk management in discrete time, based on a replicating martingale. This martingale is learned from a finite sample in a supervised setting. The model learns the features necessary for an effective low-dimensional representation, overcoming the curse of dimensionality common to function approximation in high-dimensional spaces. We show results based on polynomial and neural network bases. Both offer superior results to naive Monte Carlo methods and other existing methods like least-squares Monte Carlo and replicating portfolios.

Keywords: Solvency capital; dimensionality reduction; neural networks; nested Monte Carlo; replicating portfolios. (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 36 pages
Date: 2020-04
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-big, nep-cmp, nep-gen and nep-rmg
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:chf:rpseri:rp2028

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