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How Robust are Estimated Equilibrium Exchange Rates? A Panel BEER Approach

Agnès Benassy-Quere, Sophie Béreau () and Valérie Mignon ()

Working Papers from CEPII research center

Abstract: This paper is concerned with the robustness of equilibrium exchange rate estimations based on the BEER approach for a set of both industrial and emerging countries. The robustness is studied in four directions, successively. First, we investigate the impact of using alternative proxies for relative productivity. Second, we analyze the impact of estimating the equilibrium equation on one single panel covering G20 countries, or separately for G7 and non-G7 countries. Third, we measure the influence of the choice of the numeraire on the derivation of bilateral equilibrium rates. Finally, we study the temporal robustness of the estimations by dropping one or two years from the estimation period. Our main conclusion is that BEER estimations are quite robust to these successive tests, although at one point of time misalignments can differ by several percentage points depending on the methodology. The choice of the productivity proxy is the most sensible one, followed by the country sample. In contrast, the choice of the numeraire and the time sample have a relatively limited impact on estimated misalignments.

Keywords: Equilibrium exchange rate; BEER; Productivity; Panel cointegration (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C23 F31 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2008-03
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-cba and nep-ifn
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (17)

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