Debt-Ridden Borrowers and Persistent Stagnation
Keiichiro Kobayashi and
Daichi Shirai
No 23-001E, CIGS Working Paper Series from The Canon Institute for Global Studies
Abstract:
Persistent stagnation often follows a financial crisis. We construct a model in which a debt buildup in the corporate sector can persistently depress the economy, even when there are no structural changes. We consider endogenous borrowing constraints on short-term and long-term debt. A firm is referred to as debt-ridden when its long-term debt is so large that it can never decrease even though the firm pays all income in each period to the lender. A debt-ridden firm continues inefficient production permanently, and the emergence of a substantial number of debt-ridden firms causes a persistent recession. Further, if the initial debt exceeds a certain threshold, the firm intentionally chooses to increase borrowing and, thus, becomes debt-ridden. We numerically show successive productivity shocks or a large wealth shock can generate debt-ridden firms. The relief of debt-ridden borrowers from excessive debt may be effective for economic recovery.
Pages: 54
Date: 2024-06
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-cfn, nep-dge and nep-fdg
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:cnn:wpaper:23-001e
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