Inflation Expectations and a Model-Based Core Inflation Measure in Colombia

Hernando Vargas-Herrera

No 14264, Borradores de Economia from Banco de la Republica

Abstract: Inflation expectations in Colombia are characterized. Empirical evidence following conventional tests suggests that they might not be rational, although the period of disinflation included in the sample makes it difficult to ascertain this conclusion. Inflation expectations display close ties with observed past and present headline inflation and are affected by exogenous shocks in a possibly non-linear way. A model-based core inflation measure is computed that addresses the shortcomings of traditional exclusion measures when temporary supply shocks have widespread effects and are persistent.

Keywords: Inflation expectations; core inflation; supply shocks; monetary policy (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: E31 E37 E52 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 28
Date: 2016-02-26
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-cba, nep-mac and nep-mon
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (2)

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Related works:
Chapter: Inflation expectations and a model-based core inflation measure in Colombia (2016)
Working Paper: Inflation Expectations and a Model-Based Core Inflation Measure in Colombia (2016)
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:col:000094:014264

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