H1N1 influenza in Australia and its macroeconomic effects

George Verikios, James McCaw, Jodie McVernon and Anthony Harris

Centre of Policy Studies/IMPACT Centre Working Papers from Victoria University, Centre of Policy Studies/IMPACT Centre

Abstract: Early 2009 saw the emergence of an H1N1 influenza epidemic in North America that spread to eventually become a global pandemic. Previous work has suggested that pandemics can have large macroeconomic effects on highly affected regions; here we estimate what those effects might be for Australia. Our analysis applies the MONASH-Health model: a quarterly computable general equilibrium model of the Australian economy. We simulate the effects of two H1N1 epidemics; the relatively mild 2009 outbreak and also a more severe episode. The analysis supports the assertion that an H1N1 epidemic could have significant short-run macroeconomic effects.

Keywords: general equilibrium; H1N1 influenza; pandemics (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C68 E37 I18 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2010-12
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-cmp, nep-hea and nep-tur
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (8)

Published in Journal of the Asia Pacific Economy, vol. 17, no. 1, 2012, pp. 22-51.

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