Post-Conflict Reconstruction, Stabilization, And Growth Agenda For Sudan

Ibrahim Elbadawi, Magdi Amin, Amir Elobaid, Alzaki Alhelo, Abdelrahman Osman and Kabbashi Suliman

No 2312, FDL Policy Notes from CEPREMAP

Abstract: Sudan is currently embroiled in high-intensity, catastrophic, and factional military warfare which is a culmination of an acrimonious transition following a popular uprising that managed to depose the long-reigning kleptocratic regime of General Omer al-Bashir in December 2018. During the previous regime, Sudan experienced a major economic decline due to the loss of more than three-quarters of its oil revenues. In this paper, we argue that the same entrenched economic interests that explain the failure of the former regime to prepare for the massive economic and political shock waves associated with the partitioning of the country are also relevant in explaining why the military leadership reneged on their commitment to the constitutional transition to civilian democratic rule.

Keywords: Sudan; South Sudan; military warfare; civil war; kleptocracy; sudden stops; post-conflict financing and reforms; long-term growth; catastrophic economic cost; peaceful renaissance growth; agricultural potential (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 63 pages
Date: 2023-11
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-ara and nep-his
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:cpm:notfdl:2312

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