The Term Structures of Interest Rates in the New and Prospective EU Countries

Minoas Koukouritakis () and Leo Michelis

No 505, Working Papers from University of Crete, Department of Economics

Abstract: This paper uses cointegration and common trends techniques to investigate empirically the expectations hypothesis of the term structure of interest rates for the 10 new EU countries, along with Bulgaria and Romania. The empirical results support the expectations theory of the term structure for all countries except Malta. By decomposing each term structure into its transitory and permanent components, we also analyze short run and long run interdependence among the term structures of interest rates in these countries. Our results indicate weak linkages among the term structures of the 10 new EU countries, and strong linkages between Bulgaria and Romania that hope to join the EU in 2007.

Keywords: Term Structure; EU Enlargement; Cointegration; Common Trends; Granger Causality (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: E43 F15 F42 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 24 pages
Date: 2005
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-eec, nep-mac, nep-mon and nep-tra
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