Testing Models of Distributive Politics using Exit Polls to Measure Voters’ Preferences and Partisanship

Valentino Larcinese, James M. Snyder and Cecilia Testa

British Journal of Political Science, 2013, vol. 43, issue 4, 845-875

Abstract: This article tests several hypotheses about distributive politics by studying the distribution of federal spending across US states over the period 1978–2002. It improves on previous work by using survey data to measure the share of voters in each state that are Democrats, Republicans and Independents, or liberals, conservatives and moderates. No evidence is found that the allocation of federal spending to the states is distorted by strategic manipulation to win electoral support. States with many swing voters are not advantaged compared to states with more loyal voters, and ‘battleground states’ are not advantaged compared to other states. Spending appears to have little or no effect on voters’ choices, while partisanship and ideology have large effects.

Date: 2013
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Related works:
Working Paper: Testing Models of Distributive Politics using Exit Polls to Measure Voters Preferences and Partisanship (2009)
Working Paper: TESTING MODELS OF DISTRIBUTIVE POLITICSUSING EXIT POLLS TO MEASURE VOTERPREFERENCES AND PARTISANSHIP (2006)
Working Paper: Testing models of distributive politics using exit polls to measure voter preferences and partisanship (2006)
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