Recent Mortality Trends in the Spanish Population

A. Felipe, M. Guillen and A. M. Perez-Marin

British Actuarial Journal, 2002, vol. 8, issue 4, 757-786

Abstract: Our research deals with the way that calendar time affects mortality patterns in the Spanish population, and how this information can be used to elaborate predictions. A description of the observed mortality evolution has been worked out using data from 1975 to 1993. We have used Heligman-Pollard Law number two to model the evolution of Spanish mortality over the period and using univariate time series analysis, we have obtained a prognosis for years 1994 to 2010.

Date: 2002
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