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Behavior Equilibrium Exchange Rate and Misalignment of Renminbi: A Recent Empirical Study

Jinzhao Chen

DEGIT Conference Papers from DEGIT, Dynamics, Economic Growth, and International Trade

Abstract: This paper employs the behavioral equilibrium exchange rate (BEER) model to estimate the equilibrium real exchange rate of Renminbi (RMB) and the exchange rate misalignment in China, which covers the period from 1994q1 to 2006q2. Using the most precise and recent data, the main findings of the paper are that (1) since 1994q1, RMB equilibrium exchange rate has exhibited a steady appreciation, but from the 1999q3 to the recent period, it started to depreciate. And (2) that RMB real exchange rate has been under-valuated during the most part of sample period, but this misalignment has a trend to become smaller and small, and in recent after-reform period, a small degree of over-evaluation replaces this under-valuation.

Keywords: Behavior equilibrium exchange rate; cointegration; misalignment; Renminbi (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C32 F31 F32 F41 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 21 pages
Date: 2007-06
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-cba, nep-cna and nep-ifn
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (2)

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Related works:
Journal Article: Beyond Cheap Talks: Assessing the Undervaluation of the Chinese Currency Between 1994 and 2007 (2009) Downloads
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