CUBAN DEMOGRAPHY AND ECONOMIC CONSEQUENCES

Humberto Barreto ()

No 2018-01, Working Papers from DePauw University, School of Business and Leadership and Department of Economics and Management

Abstract: This paper highlights and explains the effects of various demographic shocks to the Cuban economy, starting from the baby boom of the early 1960s and the collapse in fertility rates thereafter. The primary contribution is a freely available Excel workbook, PopPyrCuba.xlsm, that enables projections of population age distributions. For Cuba, the future looks bleak. Japan and other rich countries are finding that demographic forces are quite strong and cause serious economic harm. Without a developed market system, Cuba’s economy offers little protection from the coming storm. There are, of course, many challenges facing post-Castro Cuba, but demography may prove to be the most daunting of all.

Keywords: fertility; death; population; simulation; Excel; growth; externality (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: A10 J10 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2018-08
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-age
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https://www.depauw.edu/site/learn/dew/wpaper/worki ... CubaDemographics.pdf (application/pdf)

Related works:
Journal Article: Cuban Demography and Economic Consequences (2018)
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:dew:wpaper:2018-01

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