Employment Growth, Inflation and Output Growth: Was Phillips Right?: Evidence from a Dynamic Panel

Guglielmo Maria Caporale and Marinko Skare

No 1138, Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin from DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research

Abstract: In this paper we analyse the short- and long-run relationship between employment growth, inflation and output growth in Phillips' tradition. For this purpose we apply FMOLS, DOLS, PMGE, MGE, DFE, and VECM methods to a nonstationary heterogeneous dynamic panel including annual data for 119 countries over the period 1970-2010, and also carry out multivariate Granger causality tests. The empirical results strongly support the existence of a single cointegrating relationship between employment growth, inflation and output growth with bidirectional causality between employment growth and inflation as well as output growth, giving support to Phillips' Golden Triangle theory.

Keywords: Employment growth; inflation; output growth; Golden Triangle theory (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C23 E24 E31 E60 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 27 p.
Date: 2011
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-cba and nep-fdg
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Working Paper: Employment Growth, Inflation and Output Growth: Was Phillips Right? Evidence from a Dynamic Panel (2011)
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